Modeling the impact of climate change on mussel aquaculture in a coastal upwelling system: A critical assessment

Science of The Total Environment

Fuentes-Santos, Isabel; Labarta, Uxío; Fernández-Reiriz, María José; Kay, Susan; Hjøllo, Solfrid Sætre ; Alvarez-Salgado, Antón;


• We forecast climate change impacts on Galician mussel aquaculture.
• Bias correction is required when using ocean climate models in a coastal farm area.
• Uncertainty of SST projections is larger between models than between scenarios.
• Interaction between the farming schedule and seasonal environmental variability determine aquaculture production.
• The projected impact of climate change on mussel aquaculture is minor.

DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.145020